Why US - Russia relations matter

Key Market report for Thursday, 13 February 2025

Just over an hour after I sent out this report, President Trump posted a statement on his TruthSocial platform that he had a "lengthy and productive phone call with President Vladimir Putin of Russia." Among other things, Trump stated that he and Putin, "each talked about the strengths of our respective Nations, and the great benefit that we will someday have in working together." This came as a surprise, but certainly a welcome development. I have posted my report on my personal Substack where it provoked a lively discussion in the comments sections. Perhaps these comments reflect the way the public may have received the news.

Many pointed out that the US is not agreement-capable and that Russia would be wrong to ever trust any commitment by any US president. This may be true, but having relations is certainly better than having no relations, which is what we had during the last three years of the impostor Biden administration. Having good relations makes a lot of things possible and I believe that even if the road ahead is difficult, the relationship between Russia and the US is so important, it is worth giving it a level best from both sides.

Former German Foreign Minister Sigmar Gabriel stated in an interview with Bild am Sontag in 2018 that, "The completely shattered relationship between Russia and the US was the greatest threat to peace across the globe," and that unless the two powers find common ground, "our children would inherit a dangerous and very uncertain world increasingly armed with nuclear weapons."

Other commenters said that the US is dominated by the banking cartel on the Wall Street - City of London axis of evil and that they hate Russia and will not allow friendly relations between the two powers to hold. Indeed, I do believe that the role of the banking cartel has been critical in defining the US-Russia relations, reminding us once more of Lord Acton's famous quote that, "The issue that has swept down the centuries and which will have to be fought sooner or later is the people versus the banks."

This very fight could be the key reason why a new alliance between the United States and Russia could be critical. I've discussed this in my banned 2017 book, "Grand Deception." The relevant excerpt is below:

Given the pervasive and deep-rooted hostility of the American establishment toward Russia and the role American advisors played during Russia’s transition in the 1990s, it may seem odd that Vladimir Putin remained consistently open for friendly dialogue with his American counterparts, always referring to them as our partners and even our American friends. On important occasions, Putin backed his friendly disposition toward the U.S. with real action. As Soviet defector Lev Alburt wrote, “Putin was the first to call Bush on September 11, and he offered what America needed: the Northern Alliance to help the US to defeat the Taliban and capture Bin Laden; transit for US and US-allied forces over Russian territory; Russian bases in Central Asia; intelligence; supplies; indeed everything America might need to fight terrorism. All of this and more Putin delivered, ignoring grumbling among his military and intelligence chiefs.” Trusting in the commonality of Russian and American interests, Putin has indeed maintained this attitude even in the face of disapproval on the part of many Russians. One Russian diplomat told Lev Alburt that, “In our government, there is only one man who still believes that Russo-American partnership is possible, and worth aiming for. Because that man is Vladimir Putin the rest of us follow.”
One possible reason why Vladimir Putin might believe in the commonality of U.S. and Russian interest is because he understood that the enemy that has had Russia in its crosshairs for over two centuries now, is the same system, or structure of power that has taken the American people and their government captive, squandering America’s wealth and destroying her prosperity in their drive to build a global empire. This enemy is the global financial oligarchy that has been able to impose control over most nations of the world through their system of money and credit and their central banking franchise. In biblical times they might have been called money-changers. We can also call them empire builders.Because their franchise is global and distributed across many nations and capitals, even when any given country managed to curtail their power, the money-changers always managed to burrow their way back, subverting their governments and reversing their independence. ... This very same financial oligarchy that took control of the Bank of England and set up the Federal Reserve System in the U.S., has today spawned a global central banking franchise that controls most of the world’s central banks. The ultimate owners of this system belong to the same dynastic oligarchy that has over the centuries supported multiple attacks on Russia, from Napoleonic Wars (1803-1815), Crimean War (1853-1856), the Bolshevik Coup (1917), Hitler’s 1941 invasion, as well as the 1990s raid conducted under the guise of Shock Therapy transition.
I believe that Vladimir Putin has understood – he certainly is sophisticated enough a thinker – that he could not vanquish this global oligarchy by confronting them head-on and throwing them out of Russia. That would only set them back temporarily as they would use their system of money and credit to claw their way back into Russia’s institutions and subvert her independence once more. Perhaps he has resolved instead to build bridges of understanding and cooperation with Russia’s American friends and work together to rid both nations, and perhaps all of humanity, of the money changers for good. If this truly is Mr. Putin’s game plan, and if he finds in the United States true partners and allies in this struggle, we may be so fortunate to witness a new U.S.-Russian alliance that could turn the tide of history away from the dystopian state of disenfranchisement, debt servitude and permanent war, toward a new era of peace, cooperation and prosperity.

The above encapsulates why the relationship between the two powers matters more than is commonly understood. It may be hard to envision just how the banking parasite could be dislodged from humanity's face, but just as it got there somehow, it should be possible to rout it out somehow. Nothing lasts forever, so neither should their pathogenic rule. What happened yesterday could be the best news we had in years.

From the trading and investing viewpoint, if the talks between the two sides progress as quickly as other moves by the Trump Administration, we could soon see a complete lifting of sanctions against Russia. I'm not sure what consequences that might have in the markets, but we'll find out in time and if nothing else, the trends will tell the story and every investor should heed them - at the very least as a reality check and a source of second opinion.

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Trading signals for Key Markets, 13 Feb. 2025

With yesterday’s closing prices we have the following signals: